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By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
Well, between the low pressure area moving across yesterday and the remaining unstable air generating some light showers, the coast and Coast Range has seen anywhere from ½” to 1” of rain, with a few isolated spots seeing up to 1 ¾” of rain in the last 24 hours. At least the temperatures have moderated. The area will see a few more scattered light showers today though they become more widely scattered this afternoon, the winds becoming southwesterly 5-10, and a high near 54 after this morning’s low of near 48.
We see continued scattered showers tonight then another Pacific front pushes in more rain after midnight, the winds southeasterly 8-12, a low near 45. This front will finally push through around lunchtime tomorrow leaving showers with a chance of thunderstorms for tomorrow afternoon, the winds becoming southwesterly 10-15 gusting to 20, high temperatures tomorrow near 55. We can expect some more showers tomorrow night as another low pressure area moves up into Washington or Vancouver Island, still the breezy southerly winds 8-12 gusting to 25, lows near 45. It looks like we could see another ½” to 1” of rain for that 24 hour period.
Thursday there appears to be a trough of low pressure moving in that will cause more showers with breezy southerly winds 14-18 gusting to 25, the high near 52, the showers continue Thursday night until an approaching warm front pushes in more rain late that night into Friday. The winds Thursday night southerly 8-12 gusting to 18, the low temperature around 44. This looks to bring another inch of rain to the area, maybe an inch and a half in the Coast Range.
So, we continue with the rain Friday as the systems associated cold front approaches, highs still up near 53, the front pushes though Friday evening, possibly bring a few periods of heavy rain as it moves through, becoming breezy also, then we transition back over to showers Friday night, lows near 46.
Look for more showers on Saturday and possibly into Sunday though some of the models are suggesting a high pressure ridge builds in and that would bring improving weather for Sunday into Monday. We’re not biting off on this just yet, high temperatures Sunday and Monday up around a balmy 61 degrees, and the nighttime lows only down to near 51.
As far as the rivers, they continue to be elevated and have been on the rise since the weekend. It looks like the rivers have or are in the process of cresting with all of them remaining below even Action Stage. They should all continue to fall until the next front increases the flow rates again later this week or weekend. None of the Tillamook County Rivers are currently expected to reach Action or Flood Stage with these weather events, though this cannot be said for some rivers over in the valley that are already at or are forecasted to be into Action Stage with a few even reaching bankfull sometime this week.
Looking at the long range models suggests the active pattern will continue next week, so we can expect more systems to bring more rain and rainshowers, but on the positive side, no freezing temperatures.