By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
As one might expect in a shower type environment, 24 hour rainfall totals vary considerably, from as little as 2/3” to as much as 3”, it all depended on how many, and how long the heavy showers moved over a certain location. A look at the 24 hour totals through 7am this morning showed Netarts with the 2/3” and Nehalem River near Foss at 3.02”. Most locations were reporting around 1” to 1 ½”. The heavy shower activity is also reflected in the river levels which have all exceeded earlier forecasts. The good news though, the shower activity today will not be as significant as it has been this past few days, and decreasing, so the river rises will slow and should crest by this afternoon, still below Action or Flood Stage meaning, flooding concerns are still low.
So, we saw partly sunny skies as the activity slowly eased this afternoon, we still had some occasional gusty winds, and the activity will continue to ease tonight with light east winds, the low near 41.
Tomorrow, we have a ridge of high pressure moving in and bringing us some mostly sunny skies, winds northerly 4-8, highs near 57. Here come more clouds tomorrow night, light east winds, lows dipping to near 39.
The next front brings in more rain and winds in the afternoon Thursday, those winds southerly 8-12 gusting to 20, highs near 54, the rain transitions to showers behind the front later that night, lows near 41.
The flow becomes more zonal Friday, and we likely see some more scattered, light post-frontal showers around the area, highs near 54, lows near 44.
The models are still mixed for the weekend as they are varied on the timing and strength of a trough of low pressure that is expected to move towards the area. Veterans Day is still looking 50/50 on being dry or rainy, then Sunday and Monday the models still don’t agree but just going with the recent patterns, we go with rainy on into Monday, highs around 58, lows around 45.