By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
A dry day for a change as a ridge of high pressure moves in over the area, but the pattern quickly starts to change tonight as the ridge continues to move eastward ahead of a trough that will push in a front tomorrow. So, tonight we see increasing clouds with light east winds, the low drops to near 39.
The rain moves in later tomorrow morning, winds becoming southerly 8-12 gusting to 20, the high near 55. The front pushes through later tonight around midnight, then we transition over to showers, winds becoming westerly 5-10, lows near 42. It appears we will see around 1-2” of rain from this one for the 24-hour period ending early Friday morning.
Friday, we continue to see the post-frontal scattered showers, winds becoming southerly 5-10, highs near 55, the winds southerly 4-8, lows near 45.
As for the weekend, it now looks like a low pressure area will be dropping southeastward along the Canadian coast. This low will be rotating in disturbances that bring in periods of rain so, unfortunately for the Veteran’s Day festivities it looks like it will be wet and breezy with the high near 57, lows near 47. Sunday also looks wet. The forecasting issue is nailing down exactly when each disturbance will move across the area to enhance the rain chance.
The uncertainty only increased next week as the models show other lows possibly developing in the associated trough of low pressure that extends southwestward from the parent low that will have dropped down and would likely be off the coast of Vancouver Island. The other developing lows would then get pushed into our area in the southwesterly flow and continue to give us periods of rain each day from Monday on through midweek. This would give us mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, and rain, with highs near 56, lows near 44.