By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
Monday, February 6, 2023
We saw mainly light rain and drizzle from a weak warm front moving across today that diminished this afternoon but any break is short as we have another stronger front that is pushing in rain and breezy winds later tonight. We are expecting moderate rain with southerly winds becoming 8-12 gusting to 30, higher at the beaches, the low only dips to around 46.
The rain continues tomorrow morning, and the winds increase to 20-25 gusting to near 45 then they decrease behind the front tomorrow afternoon and we transition to scattered showers, the winds becoming westerly 14-18 gusting to 25, the high near 48. The shower activity eases further after midnight and the snow level drops to around 2400’. The winds tomorrow night westerly 14-18 gusting to 25, lows dropping to near 39. Rainfall totals for this system, over the two day period, somewhere around ¾” to 1½” of rain.
Wednesday, we see a decreasing chance of showers as a high pressure ridge moves in under partly sunny skies, winds southerly 4-8, the high near 50, the snow level around 2300’. Wednesday night looks mostly cloudy and dry, lows down near 37.
The ridge shifts east Thursday ahead of the next incoming system that will start giving us an increasing chance of rain starting that evening, highs near 57, then rainy and breezy again that night, lows near 40.
The rain continues Friday, still breezy until the front passes that night and we transition back to scattered showers that become more widely scattered by midnight, lows near 38.
The weekend weather becomes a little more difficult to forecast as it appears we will have a low pressure area developing that will get cut off from the upper level winds so it just goes where it goes. The models suggest it will develop and sit off the coast of California and that would be good for us, giving us some easterly, or offshore winds. That would tend to dry things out though there is a slight chance that some wraparound moisture could make it into the area though so we go with partly sunny skies with only a slight chance of rain for Saturday and Sunday, the high near 52, lows near 39.