By Gordon McCraw, Meteorologist for the Tillamook County Pioneer
I guess it comes as no surprise that the rain continues. I saw rainfall totals this morning ranging from around an inch to over 2” of rain in the last 24 hours. As far as the winds go, the peak gusts around the area included a gust of 42 in Tillamook, 32 in Manzanita, and a 29 in Neskowin.
So, another rainy, breezy day with the winds gusting to 30 still, then the next in the never-ending series of atmospheric rivers moves in tonight, and will bring another round of rain, heavy at times, and gusty winds. The models still vary on how much rain this system will bring through tomorrow with some of the models actually decreasing the amount of expected rain. The uncomfortable part of the other models is that they keep the system over the area longer and you know what that would do.
The latest river forecasts have backed down a little on the maximum crest on the rivers, though the Wilson is still forecast to reach minor Flood Stage, the Nehalem is forecast to just reach Action Stage, below Flood Stage. Because of the uncertainty still, these numbers will continue to change as the models get updated. And tonight’s forecast with all this in mind, rainy, heavy at times, winds becoming southerly 15-20 gusting to 35, the low near 51.
More rain, heavy at times tomorrow, still the breezy southerly winds, the high near 59, then the rain starts to ease tomorrow night, the southerly winds decreasing and becoming light, lows near 46.
We start out with rain Wednesday as the front continues to move east then we transition to showers with possible thunderstorms Wednesday night, highs near 54, lows near 41. Thursday, we see more showers with possible thunderstorms as the unstable colder air continues to filter in, highs near 50, lows near 38.
Friday, we see another warm front trying to push into the area and force the cold air out so look for the rain to return as the snow level falls to near 2700’, so, some snow is possible in the higher Coast Range mountains. Saturday and Sunday look cloudy, rainy, and breezy with the snow level lifting as the temperatures warm after bottoming at 36 degrees here Friday night, the highs over the weekend near 53, lows up around 41.
Today we still have a Beach Hazards Statement for an increased risk of Sneaker Wave that is valid until December 7th at 4am. There is still the large area Flood Watch related to tonight’s system that is valid until December 6th at 4pm.