One of my most cherished memories of College was when retired Governor Tom McCall came to OSU and met with Poli Sci seniors for an hour twice a week.
Tom McCall, Oregon’s chief executive from 1967 to 1975, may go down in history as the state’s most productive governor. Governor McCall once famously said, “Come many, many times to enjoy the beauty of Oregon. But for heaven’s sake, don’t move here to live.” And of course, we all did!
I thought of Tom last week while reviewing demographic reports that our low birth rate and dwindling in-migration are resulting in a small but significant population loss. Some may see that as a positive trend but we also have to acknowledge the potential effect on local economies.
I often hear from long-term residents concerned that people are coming here and bringing different values and politics with them. Certainly, we see changes here on the Coast where natural resources – farming, fishing and forestry – once dominated the workforce. Now tourism and servicing the retirement community are our largest employers.
I often opine that people move to the Coast in their active retirement years to enjoy our lifestyle and natural beauty. Those are the same reasons they vacationed here earlier. A third of our population is over 65 now! But as they age, those same retirees move away to be closer to family and expanded healthcare.
But where are people coming from and when they leave, where do they go?
Only a tiny percentage of around 3% of Oregonians move away each year. More than 130,000 Oregonians moved to other states last year, a little more than half of them to neighboring states like Washington and California. Two other popular destinations for Oregon expats are Arizona and Texas.
Texas and Arizona both have lots of sun, of course, a lot more than you’ll find west of the Cascades. They also have relatively low income taxes — none at all, in Texas’ case. They both have an average sales tax rate above 8%, though, while Oregon has no sales tax at all. |